This alert expired on 3 September 2026 at 21:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 2nd strongest of the 5 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 22 August 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued September 3 at 4:57PM EDT until September 3 at 5:45PM EDT by NWS Detroit/Pontiac MI
An estimated 142,210 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 22 August 2026
- September 3, 2026 · score 46 · 13.9 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 37 out of 100, at 81 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v4. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 37 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 81% |
| Coordinates | 41.8336, -82.3884 |
| Nearest City | Leamington (30 km) |
| Population Exposed | 142.2K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-09-03T20:57:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.00c7cb1a7ab81c7a23a64df1c0a9605cede7fb98.002.1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Special Marine Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Detroit River; Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape MI; The Islands to Vermilion OH; Vermilion to Avon Point OH; Avon Point to Willowick OH; The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH; Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH; Conneaut OH to Ripley NY; Willowick to Geneva-on-the-Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border; Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border and 1 more areas |
| Headline | Special Marine Warning issued September 3 at 4:57PM EDT until September 3 at 5:45PM EDT by NWS Detroit/Pontiac MI |
| Expires | 2026-09-03T17:45:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Detroit/Pontiac MI |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 4 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.00c7cb1a7ab81c7a23a64df1c0a9605cede7fb98.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.56628dd4f40405a6b823ebb73195b1c69f43e148.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ceafa8a65989ddf72bb7ee787d7e314f54c5c4a2.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.e6e9592aef56f15f8ea9d77178cd39317ffb5380.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Leamington?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 37/100, near Leamington (Canada), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.